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Red50
6957.2
10486.1
162926.2
Blue40
12481.1
159011.7
150617.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3725060801005040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.7
23.624.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1506
#24
17.40.7
16.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
695
#22
7.21.1
6.17.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
11.71.0
9.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1048
#44
6.10.7
5.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1248
#46
1.11.0
0.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End