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Red128
112634.1
204814.1
102442.0
Blue106
19135.6
162926.2
222814.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9073204060100120140160128106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.7
41.342.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
191
#5
35.60.5
35.436.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
34.10.7
33.534.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
26.20.5
26.026.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2048
#16
14.10.7
13.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2228
#19
14.00.5
13.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End