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Red20
238911.1
174211.3
239413.1
Blue4
3110.3
23829.2
12092.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34220406080204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.10.3
12.111.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
31
#16
10.30.4
10.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1742
#20
11.30.3
10.410.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
9.20.4
9.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2389
#28
11.10.3
10.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1209
#34
2.30.4
2.82.3
Auto
Teleop
End