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Red8
23698.2
25713.1
216518.2
Blue22
23918.9
23829.2
246112.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28210406080100120140822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.21.6
11.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
12.00.0
10.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2369
#37
8.21.6
8.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
9.20.0
4.94.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2571
#38
3.11.6
6.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
2391
#33
8.90.0
7.17.0
Auto
Teleop
End