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Red40
166616.8
23987.2
216518.2
Blue26
24249.1
17505.4
23698.2
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33150204060801004026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.20.8
10.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
2424
#31
9.10.8
6.77.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
16.80.8
10.010.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
2369
#37
8.20.8
6.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2398
#26
7.20.8
10.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1750
#27
5.40.8
3.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End