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Red36
23439.8
174211.3
235212.5
Blue12
238911.1
237313.7
25713.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26230501001502003612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2352
#19
12.56.0
14.78.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2373
#12
13.76.9
13.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1742
#20
11.30.9
9.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2389
#28
11.14.3
11.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2343
#11
9.81.1
9.88.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
2571
#38
3.13.7
3.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End