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Red42
239413.1
3110.3
216518.2
Blue0
23716.5
23987.2
12092.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402006080420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.20.3
15.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
2398
#26
7.21.7
9.47.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
13.10.3
12.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
2371
#36
6.51.7
8.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
31
#16
10.30.3
10.510.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
1209
#34
2.31.7
4.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End