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Red18
216518.2
12092.3
239610.8
Blue6
246912.7
23952.2
23339.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29230406080100120140186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.20.9
12.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
2469
#30
12.76.3
12.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2396
#21
10.83.9
10.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2333
#15
9.93.6
9.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1209
#34
2.30.9
7.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2395
#39
2.24.1
2.26.3
Auto
Teleop
End