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Red20
91911.8
21851.6
18826.9
Blue16
18145.3
7581.2
78114.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions471804060801002016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#3
26.91.3
27.426.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
781
#41
14.60.3
11.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
919
#21
11.81.9
7.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
1814
#56
5.30.4
7.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2185
#64
1.61.9
7.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
758
#59
1.20.3
2.21.9
Auto
Teleop
End