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Red54
131211.6
85414.1
17623.6
Blue6
140411.4
21851.6
114111.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40270206080100546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#8
23.60.8
17.218.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
1404
#46
11.41.9
8.66.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
854
#9
14.11.0
13.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1141
#47
11.01.3
10.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1312
#23
11.61.3
7.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
2185
#64
1.61.9
9.87.9
Auto
Teleop
End