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Red56
156525.4
187013.4
219810.1
Blue42
262615.1
220023.1
250512.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40350102030506070805642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1565
#16
25.40.8
22.123.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
2200
#31
23.10.3
22.322.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1870
#20
13.41.4
6.98.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2626
#52
15.10.6
7.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2198
#38
10.11.4
10.011.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
2505
#36
12.50.6
5.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End