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Red0
122113.5
16208.8
21851.6
Blue38
20764.2
15479.1
18826.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23300406080038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1221
#27
13.52.0
8.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.4
188
#3
26.90.5
26.126.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1620
#51
8.82.0
9.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1547
#15
9.10.6
2.02.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2185
#64
1.62.0
6.04.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
2076
#49
4.20.5
0.71.2
Auto
Teleop
End