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Red54
24275.8
150726.8
121910.9
Blue0
131211.6
13255.8
8657.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45210406080540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.6
26.927.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
1312
#23
11.62.0
13.311.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1219
#43
10.91.0
7.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
865
#60
7.62.0
4.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2427
#14
5.81.0
7.38.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1325
#48
5.82.0
5.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End