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Red4
100617.6
16056.9
15649.4
Blue52
77214.8
24275.8
124121.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32430206080100120452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1006
#37
17.61.5
20.118.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
21.30.5
17.017.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1564
#50
9.42.4
7.75.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
772
#24
14.80.5
16.617.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1605
#42
6.91.5
5.43.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2427
#14
5.80.8
8.39.2
Auto
Teleop
End