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Red68
156525.4
124614.6
140411.4
Blue18
7581.2
216614.8
22542.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42150102030506070806818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1565
#16
25.41.5
23.625.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
2166
#44
14.80.0
12.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1246
#53
14.61.5
12.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
2254
#66
2.20.0
3.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1404
#46
11.42.4
2.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
758
#59
1.20.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End