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Red46
148215.9
124121.3
78114.6
Blue34
121910.9
150321.9
20764.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473201020406070804634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.0
17.517.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1503
#28
21.90.0
20.320.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1482
#40
15.90.1
14.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1219
#43
10.90.0
9.99.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
781
#41
14.60.0
13.113.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
2076
#49
4.20.0
3.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End