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Red74
70325.7
250512.5
185911.3
Blue16
15144.8
131211.6
20139.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4223060801007416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
703
#11
25.71.7
20.822.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
1312
#23
11.60.8
11.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2505
#36
12.52.8
10.213.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2013
#54
9.60.5
10.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1859
#62
11.32.8
8.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
1514
#65
4.80.8
3.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End