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Red22
85414.1
156525.4
24275.8
Blue18
16808.5
18145.3
185911.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542304060801002218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1565
#16
25.41.4
25.924.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
1859
#62
11.30.7
12.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
854
#9
14.11.4
16.014.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1680
#45
8.50.4
9.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2427
#14
5.82.2
8.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1814
#56
5.30.7
6.05.3
Auto
Teleop
End