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Red20
4738.8
66814.4
25177.1
Blue40
11309.8
8477.2
95610.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262104060801001202040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
#29
14.40.4
13.112.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
956
#13
10.81.5
8.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
473
#37
8.80.4
5.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1130
#42
9.81.5
6.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2517
#45
7.10.4
6.66.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
847
#20
7.21.5
6.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End