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Red52
189116.6
156910.7
170011.9
Blue10
9573.7
15108.3
15713.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322204060801005210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.61.8
11.313.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
1510
#52
8.31.1
9.18.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1700
#10
11.91.8
9.811.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
957
#36
3.71.1
8.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1569
#26
10.71.8
9.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
1571
#39
3.01.1
5.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End