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Red16
128017.9
22737.5
25217.6
Blue40
26359.4
25177.1
26058.3
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271801040506070801640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1280
#14
17.90.9
13.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
2635
#15
9.41.7
7.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2521
#21
7.60.9
5.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2605
#11
8.31.7
5.77.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2273
#43
7.50.9
7.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2517
#45
7.11.7
6.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End