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Red16
9979.5
48816.2
20718.7
Blue12
182312.8
95610.8
25217.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312604060801001201612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#2
16.21.2
9.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1823
#27
12.81.2
8.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
997
#25
9.51.2
12.111.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
956
#13
10.81.2
9.98.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2071
#16
8.71.2
8.16.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2521
#21
7.61.0
7.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End