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Red18
10018.7
15108.3
170011.9
Blue40
83511.9
198314.8
95610.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393102060801840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#4
18.71.7
18.316.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
14.80.7
12.112.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1700
#10
11.91.7
11.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
835
#12
11.90.7
8.18.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1510
#52
8.31.7
8.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
956
#13
10.80.7
11.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End