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Red64
182312.8
88.9
188711.0
Blue30
13185.2
128017.9
12946.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3231010204050606430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1823
#27
12.82.7
12.014.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
1280
#14
17.90.2
13.313.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1887
#41
11.02.7
9.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1294
#35
6.80.2
8.78.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
8
#23
8.92.7
9.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1318
#50
5.20.2
9.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End