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Red70
25217.6
204624.0
154023.3
Blue18
177810.4
15953.3
15713.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3724060807018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.02.9
14.016.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
1778
#18
10.40.6
12.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
23.32.9
15.618.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.0
1595
#38
3.30.6
6.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2521
#21
7.62.9
5.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
1571
#39
3.00.6
6.35.7
Auto
Teleop
End