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Red40
143210.6
219212.9
237412.0
Blue64
255015.9
22737.5
48816.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183104060801004064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2192
#17
12.91.7
7.89.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
488
#2
16.22.9
12.315.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2374
#30
12.01.7
7.49.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2550
#28
15.92.9
11.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1432
#22
10.61.7
4.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2273
#43
7.52.9
5.98.7
Auto
Teleop
End