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Red34
135916.2
170011.9
15953.3
Blue10
25947.2
188711.0
26359.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332504060801001203410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.2
11.912.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1887
#41
11.01.3
10.18.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1700
#10
11.90.2
9.49.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
2635
#15
9.42.9
9.46.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1595
#38
3.30.2
10.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
2594
#33
7.20.7
7.26.5
Auto
Teleop
End