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Red20
253915.4
16016.2
255912.4
Blue92
36533.5
7088.7
218017.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204804060802092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#19
15.40.3
8.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.1
365
#14
33.52.4
23.025.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2559
#30
12.40.3
10.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
2180
#20
17.32.6
13.215.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1601
#40
6.20.3
4.74.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
708
#41
8.72.6
8.110.8
Auto
Teleop
End