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Red56
23725.9
164012.3
83415.5
Blue40
70913.7
8420.7
255912.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333701020506070805640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#6
25.91.6
16.718.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
84
#32
20.70.2
17.617.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
834
#13
15.51.6
11.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
709
#26
13.70.3
11.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1640
#18
12.31.6
5.47.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2559
#30
12.44.3
12.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End