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Red64
70913.7
23725.9
164714.2
Blue14
30412.3
48417.7
188511.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45310204060806414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#6
25.91.0
20.421.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
484
#31
17.71.0
15.714.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1647
#21
14.21.0
12.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
304
#22
12.31.6
4.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
709
#26
13.71.0
10.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1885
#43
11.21.0
13.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End