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Red14
188511.2
164714.2
25587.3
Blue52
46718.9
172714.3
5399.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313902060801452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1647
#21
14.20.9
14.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
467
#5
18.90.7
18.919.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1885
#43
11.20.9
11.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1727
#27
14.30.7
11.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2558
#35
7.31.4
6.34.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
539
#12
9.01.1
7.78.8
Auto
Teleop
End