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Red46
22220.8
26187.3
242811.3
Blue26
118911.9
13089.6
22379.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312104060804626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#20
20.81.3
14.615.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1189
#18
11.90.3
11.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2428
#11
11.31.3
8.39.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1308
#32
9.60.3
3.74.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2618
#16
7.31.3
7.38.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2237
#36
9.20.3
7.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End