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Red4
26568.5
1174.3
20517.2
Blue20
242811.3
35720.4
254411.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234206080100420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2656
#30
8.51.7
9.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
357
#8
20.41.5
20.118.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2051
#25
7.21.7
10.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
2428
#11
11.31.5
12.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
117
#27
4.31.8
5.53.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
2544
#21
11.21.5
6.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End