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Red16
1174.3
3797.7
24078.4
Blue14
26187.3
22524.6
227916.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262601020304050601614

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.40.8
8.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
2279
#15
16.31.0
11.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
379
#26
7.70.8
10.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2618
#16
7.31.0
9.08.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
117
#27
4.30.8
6.75.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2252
#33
4.61.0
6.05.0
Auto
Teleop
End