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Red16
205314.9
17439.9
57810.3
Blue26
159111.8
151813.8
21110.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323101020405060701626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2053
#30
14.91.3
12.010.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1518
#16
13.80.5
13.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
578
#28
10.31.3
11.810.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1591
#26
11.80.5
10.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1743
#36
9.91.3
7.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
211
#35
10.70.5
8.07.5
Auto
Teleop
End