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Red56
76822.8
22915.1
234011.3
Blue66
63911.4
112628.6
205314.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474745505560655666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
768
#7
22.80.8
21.822.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
28.61.6
26.828.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
229
#32
15.10.8
14.615.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2053
#30
14.91.6
10.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2340
#33
11.30.8
10.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
639
#25
11.41.6
9.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End