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Red50
36526.5
27225.6
76822.8
Blue24
22288.2
17287.3
151813.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7723040601001201405024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#5
26.51.6
25.423.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
1518
#16
13.80.4
11.310.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
272
#19
25.61.6
22.821.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
2228
#37
8.20.4
8.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
768
#7
22.81.6
22.620.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.5
1728
#39
7.30.4
10.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End