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Red50
34014.8
155910.3
27225.6
Blue80
205314.9
150726.3
36526.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4039102030506070805080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#19
25.60.9
16.217.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
365
#5
26.53.3
19.723.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
340
#27
14.80.9
11.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
26.33.3
12.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1559
#18
10.30.9
11.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
2053
#30
14.93.3
8.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End