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Red74
69221.6
215910.4
206318.6
Blue56
167819.4
11413.8
70116.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49502030406070807456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
692
#11
21.60.4
21.521.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
19.40.1
19.419.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
18.60.4
18.519.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
701
#20
16.20.1
16.216.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
10.40.4
10.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
114
#24
13.80.1
13.813.9
Auto
Teleop
End