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Red28
212217.2
203522.3
70116.2
Blue0
215611.5
263315.3
8416.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54180406080100120280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.31.3
19.718.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
2633
#17
15.31.9
8.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.21.5
12.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
2156
#28
11.51.9
7.15.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
701
#20
16.21.2
17.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
841
#34
6.61.3
6.95.7
Auto
Teleop
End