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Red0
262311.2
11514.7
11413.8
Blue30
13519.6
85210.7
29510.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39260206080100030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#21
14.72.1
16.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
852
#30
10.70.2
13.113.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
114
#24
13.81.9
12.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
295
#16
10.00.2
8.38.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2623
#19
11.23.2
9.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1351
#25
9.60.1
6.66.7
Auto
Teleop
End