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Red8
21353.7
208512.6
236711.6
Blue32
245611.5
262311.2
21899.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1724010304050607080832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2085
#33
12.60.8
9.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2456
#15
11.50.7
8.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2367
#29
11.60.6
9.08.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2623
#19
11.20.7
6.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2135
#36
3.70.5
-0.0-0.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
2189
#32
9.20.7
8.29.0
Auto
Teleop
End