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Red4
11477.2
25988.9
206318.6
Blue60
212217.2
11413.8
167819.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42360206080100120460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.63.1
20.317.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
19.42.0
15.717.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2598
#27
8.93.1
6.13.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
17.21.3
12.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1147
#23
7.23.1
14.611.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
114
#24
13.81.2
8.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End