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Red48
203522.3
214415.0
10727.4
Blue46
25988.9
11413.8
208512.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46280204060801004846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.2
21.221.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
114
#24
13.80.8
12.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2144
#12
15.00.2
13.313.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
2085
#33
12.61.2
13.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1072
#31
7.40.2
9.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2598
#27
8.91.2
5.06.2
Auto
Teleop
End