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Red28
255123.2
236711.6
85210.7
Blue52
25988.9
207317.0
167819.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453801001502852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.1
22.421.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
19.40.8
18.619.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2367
#29
11.60.8
10.79.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
2073
#18
17.00.9
14.215.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
852
#30
10.71.0
10.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2598
#27
8.90.9
6.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End