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Red50
255123.2
138820.8
10727.4
Blue44
206318.6
69221.6
215910.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515230406070805044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.0
23.023.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
692
#11
21.60.1
21.721.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20.80.0
20.620.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
18.60.1
18.818.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1072
#31
7.40.0
7.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
10.40.1
10.610.4
Auto
Teleop
End