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Red14
17589.8
153919.5
127011.1
Blue28
23629.7
18768.2
122514.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3123010405060701428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1539
#14
19.51.3
10.59.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1225
#16
14.80.4
8.18.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1270
#28
11.11.0
15.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2362
#23
9.70.3
9.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1758
#22
9.81.1
3.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1876
#21
8.20.4
6.16.5
Auto
Teleop
End