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Red28
243011.6
146618.7
122514.8
Blue28
18768.2
218710.3
248313.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262501020304050602828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#26
18.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
13.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1225
#16
14.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
2187
#17
10.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
11.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1876
#21
8.2
Auto
Teleop
End