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Red22
122514.8
248313.4
127011.1
Blue16
23629.7
13987.0
102616.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312501020405060702216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1225
#16
14.80.7
7.87.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1026
#12
16.20.8
14.513.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
13.40.4
8.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
2362
#23
9.70.5
9.18.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1270
#28
11.10.4
14.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1398
#24
7.00.5
2.31.8
Auto
Teleop
End