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Red38
122514.8
80410.8
174619.2
Blue17
131918.3
243011.6
12936.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363102060801003817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.2
15.515.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1319
#18
18.31.1
16.415.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1225
#16
14.80.2
8.08.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
11.66.3
12.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
804
#19
10.80.2
12.312.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1293
#35
6.61.2
7.66.3
Auto
Teleop
End